Ethereum Prediction Markets Enter The Scene

This week will see the opening of the Gnosis prediction market in beta, while in the near-future Augur will leave beta to offer its services to the world. Both prediction markets use Ethereum as their currency of choice. Prediction markets are based on the idea of selling shares on the likelihood of a future event happening. People would buy shares and they would be rewarded when the event happens, while getting nothing if it did not.

The main reason for this is to collect data on what people think will most likely happen. Called the “wisdom of the crowds,” this has been used as a way to predict future events for decades now. With Gnosis and Augur, the developers hope to give Ethereum a foothold in this field.

Long time coming

Both Augur and Gnosis have been in development for some time now. The team behind Gnosis has been developing for Ethereum since early this year.

Gnosis launches in beta

They have already shown off a sample of what the service can do with Hunchgame, a simple platform that shows the possibility of using prediction markets to help predict celebrity gossip. Gnosis founder Martin Köppelmann and his team had planned to open up the service earlier, but they decided to delay and do some additional testing and revising.

Now, with its release, it will be showcasing a new version of the system, with quite a few features that will interest those who want to use it.

Matt Liston, a part of the team working on Gnosis, has this to say about the prediction market platform:

“Gnosis enables anyone, anywhere, to speculate on the outcome of events with financial incentive. It is an indispensable tool to create more efficient information economies. Applications of Gnosis are incredibly wide ranging, from more flexible and efficient sports betting and financial instruments, to novel forms of governance, insurance, action incentivization, information aggregation, and much more!”

Augur, on the other hand, has been in Open Beta for several months now. This has allowed people to see its promise as a decentralized prediction market platform. It has also let the team behind it continually improve the service, aiming to create a secure and comfortable wagering experience.

Filled with features

Augur and Gnosis are in the same field, so it is inevitable that they would compete. Both of them have excellent features that would be favored by many customers.

Augur features a decentralized prediction market platform

For example, Augur has recently concluded a deal with Airbitz to use their Edge Security option. This security solution allows for automatic encryption, backing up, and synchronization of private keys and account data across devices, ensuring that transactions on the platform are safe from a data breach. Augur will be adding more features as it continues its beta

Meanwhile, Gnosis has features that make it different from Augur. The greatest example is the aim to use the predictive market as a means of governance. When a proposal is made on the market, participants can use the predictive market model to see whether the public supports the proposal or not.

With these features and continuing developments, it will be interesting to see how these two sites develop.

Chris Evans

A passionate adherent of the casino industry, Bitcoin has changed Chris’ life. Now, aside from working as the Business Development Manager of Bitcoin Gambling Guide, he spends his time working on new ways to help the cryptocurrency community as well as the online gambling industry. He regularly stays updated with the latest trends in the Bitcoin gambling market to continually gain insights and clearer perspectives on the path the digital currency is taking. Included in his mission to forward the market is his personal goal to share worthy and unique ideas that will pave the way for more innovations and developments. If not preoccupied in juggling with his duties, Chris devotes his time betting in Bitcoin casinos. Who said it’s impossible to work and play at the same time?

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